Hey guys!
@JeromeHPowell and @realDonaldTrump have been hard at work coding the ManiFed webapp -- Manifold's first ever advanced financial technology platform. Here's some sneak previews:
We're very excited about the direction the project has taken, and we're working hard to make the best possible user experience, but we need your input.
The following quick survey will help us shape our product, and we will send you 25 mana if you answer all the questions in a DM or in the comments (limited to 50 respondents).
Available at https://forms.gle/Bvw55biW4KLMugcs5 or below in the comments.
What on Manifold do you really want to do but cannot currently? (e.g. limit sells, user calibration, etc.)
Which of the following products would you frequently (>1x a week) use? (Comment the corresponding numbers.)
Limit sells
User calibration graphs
Limit orders on decimal points
Advanced trading terminal/E*Trade for Manifold
Conditional buy orders (ex. you file YES order at above the current market price and it doesn't fill immediately)
Options trading
P2P loan marketplace
Advanced AI tools (arbitrage scanner, market advice agent, etc. (suggestions welcome))
An application that automatically keeps your streak
Memecoins
"Index funds" such as "AI Progress Optimism by EOY" which would be a customizable set of trades
A bot builder, where you could mix and match different strategies.
Would you be comfortable storing your API key in ManiFed's encrypted and highly secure database? We have a deal with the Manifold admins that guarantees destruction of our personal accounts if there is any fraud, so we are very personally invested in it.
Would you consider paying a small fee ($2/month for the most basic plan) to access our advanced AI agents and cover AI costs?
Let us know of any other suggestions you have! (Optional but very useful.)
Thanks so much!
1&2:
Limit sells (maybe)
User calibration graphs
Conditional buy orders
P2P loan marketplace
Arbitrage calculator
3:
My API key is my key to the city! You'll need to earn an extreme amount of trust to get me to cough that up.
4:
Not particularly interested. I want to see if I'm calibrated, not an AI. Manifold is a track record / test of my humanity.
5:
Can you... remove the Trump branding? I can't tell if you guys are using it ironically or not at this point, and it might drive me away.
@Quroe I can tell you that that is a joke and I will personally see that there is almost no Trump references in the final product, that’s mainly just for us to have some theme for right now
Just you wait till @Ziddletwix shows up and tells you about calibration graphs in prediction markets
1 . Open p2p loan interface.
see 1
hmm... to enforce repayments?
4. no
See 2
Limit sells, decimal points, calibration, index funds
Not really sure what the api key can be used for if it gets leaked. If its very bad for me, no; yall are very smart for your age but you are middle schoolers.
Don't want to use your ai features. Separately, dont want to spend money on manifold, would spend mana.
A way to see all markets i have bet mana on, ordered by how much mana I have in them would be cool
Probably a way to sell a small amount out of all of my markets based on a given interest rate (sell out of all markets that are less than a certain percent with only a certain number of days left before close, for example)
The above, maybe bot builder
Yes, if you work with the manifold mods
Not really, I already have my own AI and API tools
I like the bot builder idea!
Loan marketplace, index funds, and calibration graphs would be cool things to have, too.
The auto-streak keeper would almost definitely break the rules though, probably need to cut that one lol
1 see 2
2 limit sells, calibration, loans
3 maybe but I don't trust you very much, would rather it stayed client-side if possible.
4 no (not very interested in AI features anyway)
5 please don't bot streaks. I'd like a better way to monitor for changes in my overall portfolio, and correlate an event in my profit graph (potentially in the past) to a particular market.
I would appreciate a prediction market asking if there will be a data breach within X amount of time. That would generate trust.
