A warning to all Manifolders: A major derivative mark-to-market LONGVOL trauche correction will happen by new years day, 2023
Dec 26, 2022
Evidence in favor:
I said so.
I'm one of the most trusted market creators on Manifold.
I'm 24th on the all time profit leaderboard.
A substantial fraction of that profit was from traunches.
Clearly, I am an expert on traunche corrections.
I even have a badge that says you can trust me.
@Yev I am so certain of this that my certainty cannot accurately be represented by numerical probabilities. Theists look at me in awe; they only wish they could be as certain of God as I am that a major derivative mark-to-market LONGVOL trauche correction will happen by new years day, 2023.
