Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Novak Djokovic makes an official public announcement of his retirement from professional tennis at any point during the calendar year 2026. The announcement must come directly from Djokovic, his official representatives, or verified official channels (social media accounts, press conferences, official website). Retirement announcements made after 2026 resolve NO. If Djokovic simply stops competing without a formal announcement, the market resolves NO.

Background

Djokovic is a 38-year-old Serbian professional tennis player who has won 101 ATP Tour singles titles, including a record 24 Grand Slam majors. He has been unable to win a major title since the 2023 US Open and did not reach a Grand Slam final in 2024, the first year this has happened since 2017. Despite this, Djokovic reached the semi-finals of all four Grand Slams in 2025, demonstrating continued competitive ability at the highest level.

Djokovic has confirmed his desire to keep playing until the 2028 Olympic Games, when he plans to retire playing under the Serbian flag. However, it was openly announced for the first time that maybe 2026 will be his last Grand Slam year, and some commentators expect 2026 to be the end of the road for Djokovic.

Considerations

When directly asked about retirement, Djokovic stated "It's not happening", suggesting he intends to continue playing. However, he could not guarantee that he would continue playing into the 2026 season, indicating uncertainty about his future. The tension between his stated 2028 Olympic goal and speculation about a 2026 retirement reflects genuine ambiguity about his timeline.

• Update 2025-12-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): An announcement of a post-dated retirement (e.g., announcing in 2026 that retirement will occur after the 2028 Olympics) will resolve this market YES. The announcement itself must occur in 2026, regardless of when the actual retirement is planned to take effect.