Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if Carlos Alcaraz wins at least 2 Grand Slam singles titles in 2026. The four Grand Slams in 2026 are: Australian Open (12 January to 1 February), French Open (18 May to 7 June), Wimbledon (29 June to 12 July), and US Open (31 August to 13 September). Resolution will be determined by official ATP Tour records at ATP Tour.

Background

Alcaraz heads into 2026 on top of the ATP rankings after a dominant 2025 season. He won the French Open and US Open in 2025, two of eight titles across the season. Alcaraz has already collected six grand slam titles, with only Bjorn Borg (seven) claiming more Men's Singles titles at Grand Slams before turning 23 in the Open Era. He will arrive at Roland-Garros 2026 with the possibility of achieving three consecutive titles, a privilege reserved for Björn Borg and Rafael Nadal.

Considerations

In December 2025, Alcaraz unexpectedly announced that he and his longtime coach Juan Carlos Ferrero had parted ways, introducing uncertainty heading into 2026. Additionally, Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner met in three consecutive major finals in 2025, with Alcaraz and Sinner splitting the season's slams at two-apiece for a second consecutive year, indicating sustained competition at the highest level.