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MANIFOLD
Which men's tennis players will reach the 2026 French Open Semifinals?
1
แน€1.6kแน€2.3k
Jun 5
89%
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น J. Sinner (1)
40%
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช A. Zverev (2)
28%
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ N. Djokovic (3)
15%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ F. Auger-Aliassime (4)
28%
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ D. Medvedev (6)
7%
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ A. de Minaur (8)
14%
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น F. Cobolli (10)
9%
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ A. Rublev (11)
21%
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด C. Ruud (15)
21%
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท A. Fils (17)
7%
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง C. Norrie (20)
7%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ T. Paul (24)
13%
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท F. Cerundolo (25)
24%
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ R. Jodar (27)
9%
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช A. Blockx
52%
Other (Any Player Not Listed Above)

Resolution criteria

  • Each of the listed players resolves YES if that player appears as one of the four semifinalists in the 2026 French Open (Roland Garros) Menโ€™s Singles main draw; players resolve NO otherwise. Verification: the official French Open menโ€™s singles draw/results page or PDF and/or the ATP tournament page. Links:

  • + https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/
    + https://www.atptour.com/en/tournaments/roland-garros/520/overview

  • โ€œOther (Any Player Not Listed Above)โ€ resolves YES if at least one of the four semifinalists is not among the named answers; resolves NO if all four semifinalists are from the listed options. For clarity's sake, those listed players are:

    • ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น J. Sinner (1)

      ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช A. Zverev (2)

      ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ D. Medvedev (6)

      ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ N. Djokovic (3)

      ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ R. Jodar (27)

      ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด C. Ruud (15)

      ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท A. Fils (17)

      ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ F. Auger-Aliassime (4)

      ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น F. Cobolli (10)

      ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท F. Cerundolo (25)

      ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ A. Rublev (11)

      ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช A. Blockx

      ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ A. de Minaur (8)

      ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ T. Paul (24)

      ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง C. Norrie (20)

  • Edge cases: for any players that do not appear in the main draw (withdrawing prior to the tournament for any reason), those players will resolve N/A. If a player plays at least one point in a main draw match, however, and THEN has to retire due to injury before the semifinals, that player will resolve NO. If a player retires during the semifinal matches, that makes no difference to this market. As market creator, I reserve the right to N/A if there is some sort of unforeseen extraordinary circumstance.

Background

Event dates/venue: May 24โ€“Jun 7, 2026, Stade Roland Garros (Paris). The 2026 edition uses a 15-day format starting on a Sunday. Men's semifinals are scheduled for Fri, Jun 5 (afternoon). (rolandgarros.com, atptour.com, wtatennis.com)

Considerations

  • Only the Menโ€™s Singles main draw counts for the purpose of this market (not doubles, mixed, or juniors).

Market context
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