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MANIFOLD
2026 French Open - Men’s singles winner?
139
Ṁ5kṀ260k
resolved Jun 7
100%99.6%
🇩🇪 Alexander Zverev
0.0%
🇮🇹 Jannik Sinner
0.0%
🇪🇸 Carlos Alcaraz
0.0%
🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic
0.0%
🇬🇧 Jack Draper
0.0%
🇮🇹 Lorenzo Musetti
0.0%
🇪🇸 Rafael Jodar
0.0%
🇨🇦 Félix Auger-Aliassime
0.0%
🇦🇺 Alex de Minaur
0.0%
🇳🇴 Casper Ruud
0.0%
🇺🇸 Learner Tien
0.0%
🇦🇷 Francisco Cerúndolo
0.0%
🇧🇷 João Fonseca
0.1%
🇮🇹 Flavio Cobolli
0.0%
🇮🇹 Matteo Berrettini
0.0%
🇨🇿 Jakub Menšík
0.0%
🇮🇹 Matteo Arnaldi
0.0%Other

Roland-Garros

2026 French Open – Men's singles

Which male player will win the singles title in 2026?

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@traders that was an unusual French Open, so many key players were out early! Thanks to everyone for trading on this market, see you all next year, or in July on Wimbledon markets 👍

opened a Ṁ50 YES at 11% order

fantastic match

opened a Ṁ50 NO at 43% order

@polymathematic wow wow wow

@polymathematic it's not often in sports you get a chance to see a 100% confirmation of a narrative. zverev goes on to win and he's just had the misfortune of playing in eras with all-time greats who are better than he is. no shame in that. but if he loses against a lesser player after being up two breaks in the fifth...

@traders a little prop for the men's and women's finals /polymathematic/total-sets-played-across-2026-frenc

Very Italian finals! And that’s despite Sinner being out, wow!

opened a Ṁ100 YES at 16% order

lol, y’all are crazy. Zverev’s down a bit early, and ruud’s chances go lower? What’s the theory of the case here?

@polymathematic I mean, I bought Ruud 20%->17% when he was, like, 14% on Poly and Kalshi. On Poly he’s still 14% right now

@McLovin I think that’s fine, though lower than I have Ruud. What was strange to me was both Zverev getting cheaper and Ruud coming down. They’re in the same half of the draw and the two most likely finalists by far.

Zverev is obviously a good player, the proverbial “best to never”. But his biggest struggle is mental. I think the pressure of know Sinner, Alcaraz, and Djokovic are all out and this is his tournament to lose is going to be too much.

opened a Ṁ2,500 NO at 1.0% order

@polymathematic 👀 👀

It's unfortunate how Sinner ended this French Open, I feel sorry for him.

But as someone who roots for Djokovic, I see this as a chance for 25th GS and breaking the record of Margaret Court.

sold Ṁ1 YES

@ZlatkoJovicic yeah it's a quite unique chance - first Alcaraz failed to participate, now Sinner is out. Crazy stuff

And just like that…