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MANIFOLD
Which women's tennis players will reach the 2026 French Open Semifinals?
1
แน€1.8kแน€3k
Jun 4
59%
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ Aryna Sabalenka
43%
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Elena Rybakina
36%
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Iga Swiatek
28%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Coco Gauff
24%
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Mirra Andreeva
18%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Marta Kostyuk
18%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Elina Svitolina
16%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Jessica Pegula
12%
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Jasmine Paolini
11%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Karolina Muchova
10%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Amanda Anisimova
9%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Qinwen Zheng
7%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Madison Keys
6%
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Naomi Osaka
6%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Belinda Bencic
5%
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Anastasia Potapova
4%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Victoria Mboko
65%
Other (Any Player Not Listed Above)

Resolution criteria

  • Each of the listed players resolves YES if that player appears as one of the four semifinalists in the 2026 Frenc Open (Roland Garros) Womenโ€™s Singles main draw; players resolve NO otherwise. Verification: the official French Open womenโ€™s singles draw/results page or PDF and/or the WTA tournament page. Links:

  • + https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/
    + https://www.wtatennis.com/tournaments/roland-garros

  • โ€œOther (Any Player Not Listed Above)โ€ resolves YES if at least one of the four semifinalists is not among the named answers; resolves NO if all four semifinalists are from the listed options. For clarity's sake, those listed players are:

    • ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ Aryna Sabalenka

      ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Elena Rybakina

      ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Iga Swiatek

      ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Coco Gauff

      ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Mirra Andreeva

      ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Marta Kostyuk

      ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Elina Svitolina

      ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Jessica Pegula

      ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Jasmine Paolini

      ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Karolina Muchova

      ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Amanda Anisimova

      ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Qinwen Zheng

      ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Madison Keys

      ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Naomi Osaka

      ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Belinda Bencic

      ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Anastasia Potapova

      ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Victoria Mboko

  • Edge cases: for any players that do not appear in the main draw (withdrawing prior to the tournament for any reason), those players will resolve N/A. If a player plays at least one point in a main draw match, however, and THEN has to retire due to injury before the semifinals, that player will resolve NO. If a player retires during the semifinal matches, that makes no difference to this market. As market creator, I reserve the right to N/A if there is some sort of unforeseen extraordinary circumstance.

Background

Event dates/venue: May 24โ€“Jun 7, 2026, Stade Roland Garros (Paris). The 2026 edition uses a 15-day format starting on a Sunday. Women's semifinals are scheduled for Thu, Jun 4 (afternoon). (rolandgarros.com, atptour.com, wtatennis.com)

Considerations

  • Only the Womenโ€™s Singles main draw counts for the purpose of this market (not doubles, mixed, or juniors).

Market context
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