After speculation Trump may change his mind about JD Vance, and the dem candidate swap, this seems more likely to be a tough question at the moment.
This will resolve YES if JD Vance is on the WINNING presidential ticket as Vice President in the 2024 election.
This will resolve NO if JD Vance is not elected Vice President of the United States in the 2024 election.
Will resolve when the election results are finalized and the president/vice president are sworn in, or when JD Vance is confirmed to be no longer on, and never returning to, the presidential ticket as vice president (won’t confirm until ballots are confirmed and he’s not on it).
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Why is this 8% lower than Trump winning?
https://manifold.markets/jack/who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
