Which will happen first: "One Million Profit" or "One Negative Month" or "Promote to Masters"?
5
Ṁ3614
resolved Sep 1
100%95%
One Negative Month
1.5%
One Million Profit
4%
Promote to Masters

Only one answer will resolve to YES, the other two will resolve NO.


To resolve "One Million Profit" as YES, the first thing to happen must be my all time profit, as shown on my manifold dashboard, going above 1,000,000 mana.

NOTE: this can happen at any moment, unlike the next two options, which can only happen at the end/beginning of a month.

To resolve "One Negative Month" as YES, the first thing to happen must be my profit for any given month (from the 1st day to the last day) falling below zero. I will use the league dashboard's profit counter to determine this.

If, at the end of any month, my profit for that month is negative, and that is the first option to happen, then this will resolve YES.

To resolve "Promote to Masters" as YES, I must be promoted to the Masters League before either of the other options happen.

I must be in the Masters League for this to resolve YES, so the earliest this option can happen is the 1st of October (if I don't miss a promotion).


I have not and will not buy any mana and I might receive promotional bonuses, but I don't think that will directly effect my profit (if it does, I will subtract the value added by the sign-up bonuses from the profit). Will extend time if needed. A definitive glitch or bug cannot resolve any option.


comment if you have any questions ❤

if you need to relax or sleep CLICK HERE (some manifold asmr of me making this market)

market inspired by Andrew G

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@Arky Great question, sorry just saw this, ittl be just the profit number

so if I wanna save the market from “one negative month” I need to profit 16,481 the rest of this month before the countdown freezes.

final result: One Negative Month (YES)

Veepstake craziness was too much to recover from, but luckily was able to promote to diamond.

my favorite bet this month...

took an educated guess, two minutes before resolution, on Tetra's uber eats order refund based off my previous experiences of similar refund situations lol

@traders thanks for trading 🫡 yall saved my promotion 💙

@traders unless there is a miracle that makes my profit positive, this will resolve to “One Negative Month” and no to the others, within 13 hours, if this does stay negative.

@traders Update:

Month One,

Month Two,

Conclusions:

Through the first 15 days, my profit per day averaged 369 mana.

The next 10 days, my profit per day went up to 3,300 mana on average.

The last 10 days, my profit per day has been 6,000 mana on average.

If I stay at 6,000 per day I will hit 1 million profit way after getting into masters. Gonna have to increase my average profit per day to over 10,000 if I want it close to be a close race. Which doesn’t seem impossible just gonna be tough. In platinum now 🫡

I love walz, did NOT think EVERYONE would… progressive on progressive fukit 😭

@doubters, I will recover 🫡

For the "one negative month" option, is that based on the "total mana earned" number (profit + creator earnings) or just the profit number?

@Arky Great question, sorry just saw this, ittl be just the profit number

so if I wanna save the market from “one negative month” I need to profit 16,481 the rest of this month before the countdown freezes.

@Arky shouldve comeback this week but had a bad beat 😪 I still believe 🙏🏼 (16 days left for 13,000 profit)

also the bet you just placed is pretty smart at this point 🫡

You've definitely still got a shot, all it takes is one good bet!