Which exact words/phrases will Biden say in the NBC interview on Monday, July 15th?
Basic
83
33k
resolved Jul 16
attempted assassination of Trump
Resolved
NO
"Butler"
Resolved
NO
"Convicted Felon"
Resolved
NO
"Defend Democracy"
Resolved
YES
"Donald"
Resolved
NO
"Drop Out"
Resolved
NO
"For the Good of the Country"
Resolved
NO
"Kamala" or "Harris"
Resolved
NO
"Liar”
Resolved
YES
"Look"
Resolved
NO
"Malarkey"
Resolved
NO
"My health"
Resolved
NO
"Political Violence"
Resolved
NO
"Predecessor"
Resolved
NO
"Step down"
Resolved
YES
"The American People"
Resolved
NO
"The Fact of the Matter is"
Resolved
YES
"Trump"
Resolved
YES
"Vice President"
Resolved
NO
“Anyway”
Resolved
YES
“Assassination(s)” or “Assassin”

"Biden will sit down with NBC Nightly News anchor Lester Holt for an interview that will tape and air next Monday"

https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/10/media/president-joe-biden-interview-nbc/index.html

Each answer will independently resolve to "yes" only if Joe Biden says the exact words or phrases between the quotes of that respective answer in the aired NBC interview with Lester Holt on July 15th.

Biden must say the total word(s) or phrase(s) with the same exact order and spelling (verb tense and pluralization) of the answer to resolve it to yes

If Biden does not say a listed answer in the aired interview then that respective answer will resolve to no

To make the determinations above I will use a transcript of the aired portion of the interview on NBC on July 15th.

THIS WILL STAY LIVE THROUGH THE INTERVIEW AIRING.

Tip:
"Portions of the interview will first air on NBC Nightly News on Monday at 6:30 pm. EDT"

Should resolve all within 2 days of airing. If the interview does not air by July 17th every answer will resolve N/A

(inspired by Ziddletwix's closed Biden ABC interview question)
Use it as reference for common biden-isms: https://manifold.markets/Ziddletwix/which-exact-wordsphrases-will-biden

Anyone can add answers but I will change format to keep everything consistent if needed

feel free to ask me questions below!

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Everything looks correct to me. Ill resolve it in 5 mins.

gonna check this soon and resolve tonight 🫡

HAPPENING NOW NBC

Important:

“It will be broadcast, unedited, in a special program at 9 p.m. Eastern on Monday. But excerpts are expected to be released a little earlier, during NBC’s evening news program at 6:30 p.m.“

Reminder: this market will STAY OPEN THROUGH THE INTERVIEW AIRING. so be ready to sell yes/buy no by the end if you don’t hear something, and BUY YES WHEN YOU HEAR ONE.

i wont trade, and will use an official transcript of the entire aired portion of the interview in tandem with watching live to make the determinations.

will there be a decrease in the violence inducing political rhetoric on both sides?

ANOTHER interview announced for Wednesday. I’ll probably make another question like this tomorrow if there isn’t one already 🫡

"The idea"

"The very idea"

"By the way"

"Let me say it this way"

"I shouldn't say that"

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