NOTE:

in order to prevent a confusing passing time, exact time of the pass in this market will be determined by analyzing the electionbettingodds “last day” chart for the 2024 US Presidency (data plotted every 30ish-minutes).

Through analyzing the graph after market creation, if at any 30-minute interval, I determine Trump’s odds have overtaken Kamala by at least 0.1% it will be considered a pass for the point at which the 0.1% or greater Trump lead is shown on the graph.

The first pass since market creation will be the only pass considered in resolving this market.

To further ensure bias has no roll in determining the “official time of the pass” I will not trade in this market.

If Trump odds never pass Kamala (0.1% gap favoring Trump) before the eod (11:59:59 pm EST) Jan 5th 2025, then “Trump never passes Kamala (by 0.1%)” will resolve YES and everything else will resolve NO.

NOTE: each option referring to a specific day have the following rules: 11:59:59 pm EST when it’s the second day mentioned, and 12:00:00 am EST when it’s the first day mentioned in the option.

Any glitches on their website will not resolve this. I will wait until the point in question is static and the following point is plotted to determine if it was a pass and at what exact moment.

Comment any question or news you have! 💙