Will there be two or more upsets in the Wildcard Round of the '26 MLB Postseason?

Question

Will two or more higher seeds fail to advance through the Wildcard Round of the 2026 MLB Playoffs?

Market will resolve to Yes if at least two underdogs (according to their seeding) win the Best-of-3 Matchup and advance to the Division Series Round.

Market will resolve to No if one or fewer underdogs (according to their seeding) win their Wildcard Round matchup.

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 50% chance (0 traders, as of Sep 29, 2026).

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