Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight by January 31st, 2026?
6
100Ṁ100Jan 31
78%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Background-
The Doomsday Clock is a design that warns the public about how close we are to destroying our world with dangerous technologies of our own making. It is a metaphor, a reminder of the perils we must address if we are to survive on the planet...
...Since 2008, the Science and Security Board has met twice a year to discuss world events and reset the clock as necessary. Full timeline of the Doomsday Clock is available here.
Market will resolve based on press releases/official statements posted here:
https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/
I do not bet on markets I create.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Doomsday Clock be 60s (or less) to midnight by end of January 2026
33% chance
What time will Doomsday Clock be at in 2026? (Read the pinned comment for market rules.)
Will the Doomsday Clock be forwarded or rewound in 2026? (Read the pinned comment.)
In the next 5 years, will the Doomsday Clock reach 4 or more minutes to midnight?
10% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 30 seconds to midnight by 2029?
42% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?
29% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 40 seconds to midnight by 2028?
24% chance
What time at midnight will the Doomsday clock will be in 2026.
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 seconds to midnight by 2030?
48% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 5 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?
36% chance