Is Nick Cammarata right: LLM will be able to mechanistically audit own circuits and explain ghiblification in 2Y? | Manifold

Is Nick Cammarata right: LLM will be able to mechanistically audit own circuits and explain ghiblification in 2Y?

6

100Ṁ109

2027

34%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Background

This is based on this Nick Cammarata tweet thread.

https://x.com/nickcammarata/status/1905321653401518517?s=46

“I’m at like 80% that in two years we’ll be able to get 4o to mechanistically audit its own circuits and explain what the core ideas behind ghiblification are“

Resolution Criteria

I will try to ask Nick on Twitter or find another sensible resolution.

Mechanistic interpretability

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