What will OpenAI do in 2025?
26
1.8kṀ6370Dec 31
94%
Release an IDE (Windsurf or other)
86%
Release GPT-5
72%
Be beaten by Google in text generation on the "Humanity's last exam" leaderboard
60%
Release a significant update to Sora
54%
Make another aquisition/merger other than Windsurf and io for >1 billion USD
50%
Release another developer model like GPT4.1
49%
Give equity to Sam Altman
34%
Create a new different state of the art learning algorithm
23%
Announce or release a social media platform
17%
Convert into for-profit
14%
Build AGI internally
Resolved
YESImplement better memory across all chats
Update 2025-05-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A key condition for actions by OpenAI relevant to this market is:
OpenAI must be recognized as inventing it (e.g., the product, discovery, or concept).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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