
Will Vanguard bring a Bitcoin ETF to market before Jan 1 2030?
101
1.5kṀ33k2030
21%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Vanguard and Bitcoin mean what a reasonable person thinks they mean. Brings to market is “This can be purchased through at least one discount brokerage in the U.S. on any day before this times out.” I expect resolution to be utterly unambiguous.
This market mirrors a Twitter-based gentleman’s wager between Patio11 and Mike Dudas but resolution is based on ground truth not that wager.
https://x.com/patio11/status/1745510066281656574?s=46&t=NAASaDpWsx9Lm3_OYE2hCQ
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!