An anonymous Twitter user has claimed without evidence that, working with whistleblowers within the FDIC, they have obtained audio recordings of private phone calls, agency telephone meetings, and Microsoft Team meetings.

https://x.com/FDIC_Exposed/status/1878135189253284280

Market resolves to true if the statements alleged in this tweet as being present in recordings are substantially present in recordings which are authenticated by either

a) a tier one news outlet (WSJ, Bloomberg, NYTimes, etc)

or

b) the U.S federal government (Congressional inquiry, official act of the FDIC itself, OIG investigation, criminal indictment, etc)

Neither of the above lists are exhaustive.

Disclosure of the recordings themselves is not necessary or sufficient for this market to resolve Yes; the market focuses on authentication by a source reasonably presumed to have access to the recordings and a presumption of probity.

Not all recordings need to be authenticated; Yes holders are buying "whistleblowers are clearly making lots of recordings and strategically leaking them to Twitter anons", No holders are buying "this is a shitpoast." I will resolve the market subjectively on this score, taking into account trading prices. Participants in this market may wish to note that I am broadly crypto-skeptical but considered honest.

The truth or falsity of claims made on the recordings is not the focus of this market. As a non-limiting example, authentication of a recording alleging a romantic relationship being used to punish a whistleblower will cause this market to resolve to Yes irrespective of whether any romantic relationship or scheme to punish happened.

I may trade in this market. A few years ago I would have been a zero; my opening bid, which I will make within 24 hours, is 2.

Market default resolves to No at EOY 2025.

Edit to add: As a courtesy to market participants, I have archived the tweet here:

https://media.kalzumeus.com/misc/fdic-exposed-tweet-archive.md

SHA512 hash of that file is 95bd7d26d1bda49db714574a7ff25e0ef704e9e85422866888dfe9cec219f5a9b95618b5267a9fb551cb491c113f2972e1616ab8d86847f64836ca49019608fa