MANIFOLD
Will UKHSA declare a national incident over the Kent meningitis outbreak by April 30, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ50
Apr 30
38%
chance

Resolves YES if the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) or another authoritative UK public-health body declares a national incident or equivalent national emergency status specifically over the Kent meningitis outbreak before May 1, 2026 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise.

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