Will UKHSA declare a national incident over the Kent meningitis outbreak by April 30, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ50Apr 30
38%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) or another authoritative UK public-health body declares a national incident or equivalent national emergency status specifically over the Kent meningitis outbreak before May 1, 2026 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
How many meningitis cases will there be in London, as confirmed by UKHSA, by March 28th?
20.4
More than 20 UKMTO ATTACK incidents in March 2026?
80% chance
Will a single infectious disease cause 200,000+ U.S. hospitalizations by April 15, 2026?
40% chance
Will the UK have a measles outbreak of 10k cases or more before 2028?
42% chance
Will WHO declare a public health emergency of international concern in 2026?
25% chance
[ACX 2026] Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in 2026?
34% chance
If the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1, will they declare an H5N1 pandemic within a year?
33% chance
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1 before 2030?
58% chance
Will an AI system design a pathogen which leads WHO to declare an emergency of some sort by the end of the July, 2030?
21% chance