According to a recent Twitter post, Kimi K3 is apparently better than Opus 4.8 for some tasks: wh (@nrehiew_) on X
This market resolves to Yes if Zvi (in his blog or Twitter or a comment on this market) directly states that Kimi K3 is indeed better than Opus 4.8 for at least some (non trivial/edge case) tasks, such as coding.
Jokes/humor don't count, the market will resolve based off the spirit of the question.
Market resolves by the end of July 2026, can be extended if and only if Zvi doesn't do a write up about Kimi K3 before then.
Update 2026-07-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has linked Zvi's write-up on Kimi K3. The market will resolve No if that write-up is the only reaction from Zvi and it does not directly state that Kimi K3 is better than Opus 4.8 for at least some non-trivial use cases.
Update 2026-07-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is proposing to resolve the market to No.
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@traders any objections to me resolving this to No? My read is that Zvi’s take is that it’s close but no cigar vs Opus 4.8, despite the benchmarks saying otherwise
On Kimi K3: Its Capabilities And Related Discontents
Market will resolve to No if that’s the only Kiki K3 reaction we get.
https://thezvi.substack.com/p/ai-177-part-2-wish-you-were-here
I will be covering Kimi K3 in its own post at some point early next week.
