This market predicts if precision fermentation technology will be used in more than 50 new plant-based products launched globally by the end of 2025. Precision fermentation uses microorganisms to produce specific proteins or ingredients that can be used in plant-based foods.

Resolution will be based on industry reports, press releases, or product announcements that specifically mention the use of precision fermentation technology in new plant-based products launched in 2025. The market will resolve YES if more than 50 such products are documented, and NO otherwise.

References:

• https://vegconomist.com/market-and-trends/2025-food-megatrends-point-growth-innovation-plant-based-food/

• https://www.upp.farm/top-plant-based-trends-to-watch-in-2025

  Background

  Precision fermentation is an emerging food technology that uses genetically engineered microorganisms (like yeast, bacteria, or fungi) to produce specific proteins, enzymes, fats, or other ingredients. Unlike traditional fermentation, precision fermentation can create exact replicas of animal proteins without using animals, making it particularly valuable for the plant-based food industry.

  The technology has gained significant momentum in recent years, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 40-44% over the next few years. Major food companies like Danone are already investing in precision fermentation for developing flavors, vitamins, and plant-based proteins.

  Resolution Criteria

  This market will resolve YES if more than 50 new plant-based products using precision fermentation technology are launched globally by December 31, 2025. It will resolve NO otherwise.

  Resolution will be based on:

  • Industry reports

  • Company press releases

  • Product announcements

  • News articles

  For a product to count toward the total:

  1. It must be a new plant-based food or beverage product launched in 2025 or earlier

  2. It must explicitly mention the use of precision fermentation technology in its ingredients or production process

  3. It must be commercially available (not just in development or testing phases)

  4. Different flavors or varieties of the same product line will count as separate products

  Considerations

  • Regulatory approval timelines may impact product launches in different regions

  • Current challenges for precision fermentation include scalability issues and high production costs

  • The technology is still evolving, with improvements in efficiency and cost-effectiveness potentially accelerating adoption

  • While industry projections are optimistic, the 50-product threshold represents a significant scaling of current commercial applications