COVID-19 Pandemic: Will the United States of America (USA) record one million (1,000,000) deaths directly attributable to SARS-COV-2 infection by May 22, 2022?
6
104Ṁ1005resolved May 21
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Time-adjusted clone of https://manifold.markets/noumena/covid19-pandemic-will-the-united-st to see how people's credences change.
Data for this question is drawn from the New York Times (https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/us/covid-cases.html), which uses figures reported by federal and state agencies. As of May 3, 2022, the current official death count is 992,424, and the daily death rate is 331, with a 14-day change of -22%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ39 | |
2 | Ṁ20 | |
3 | Ṁ16 | |
4 | Ṁ7 | |
5 | Ṁ5 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will more than 10,000 Americans die of H5N1 bird flu by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will there be at least 1000 confirmed human deaths due to H5N1 in the US in 2025?
6% chance
Will there be at least 10,000 confirmed human deaths due to H5N1 in the US in 2025?
3% chance
Will HKU5-CoV-2 reach 100 confirmed human cases in the US by EOY2025?
1% chance
Will at least 100,000 Americans die of H5N1 by the end of 2025?
5% chance
At any point before the end of the calendar year 2025, will the CDC or another credible source report that at least 70,000 people die annually from antibiotic-resistant infections in the US?
56% chance
Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?
17% chance
Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?
63% chance