Did people connected with Trump campaign spend $10m+ to influence election markets? [based on reporting by end of 2025]
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2025
46%
chance

A lot of recent activity in election markets on Polymarket has been driven by a couple of whale accounts. Will there be reports by major news sources that these accounts were backed by people connected with Trump campaign?

Suggestions are welcome on how to best define who should count as “connected” to Trump campaign.

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@Arky I just can't believe people connected with Trump campaign did not spend 10m+ to influence election markets. And until the end of 2025 it's a lot of time for evidence to emerge.

@Eisvogel does Harris side also do it? And if not, should they?

@nikstar I don't know. But I think no one should manipulate election markets with millions of dollars. And it's important to know the truth, if someone did.

bought Ṁ150 NO

@Eisvogel Fair enough. I do think the polymarket whale accounts are much more likely to be random people though

boughtṀ1,000YES

@Eisvogel Uh was there some news I missed?

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