Kamala has won the debate, according to the best judges on Manifold!

@strutheo @jim who won?

@nikki kamala ez

@nikki it was 3v1 so didn't count for this market

@nikki j/k i think Kamala won but I gotta let it sit for a while to be sure

@nikki jim says: fair to say Kamala won!

@nikki who won according to nikki

Kamala Harris won

@nikki great minds think alike

Come bet on Harris vs Trump debate winner. Judged by me, Chris, and nikki ❤

@jim What are your voting records?

@Shai i am a New Zealander

A more objective version based on how manifold's market reacts.

What happens if the only debate(s) between Trump and Harris also feature Kennedy?

Then only Trump and Harris's performance will be evaluated.

Even if Harris does better she could drop on the polls. This is because Trump’s favorabilities are mostly set in stone, while Harris’s is more elastic and voters might not like her unscripted.

In 2016 we only saw her debating with multiple candidates simultaneously... maybe she will do better one on one (and now that she is more seasoned). Not really counting her debate with Pence: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t_G0ia3JOVs (too low stakes)