Will Kamala Harris win the first debate against Donald Trump? (According to manifold)
145
1kṀ23k
resolved Sep 11
Resolved
YES

I'll compare the probability of "Kamala Harris" in this market right before and right after the debate. If it increases I'll resolve yes.

Technicalities:

  • If it stays at the same number, I'll use the manifold API to get the exact numbers

  • If it still stays the same I'll resolve NO

  • If there is no debate I'll resolve NA

  • If it doesn't end up being a debate between Harris and Trump, the market will be about whoever the nominees are

Mini version open during the debate:

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