
Were human forecasters obsoleted by AI in 2024?
47
resolved Feb 9
Yes, AIs have obsoleted human forecasters
No, human forecasters not obsoleted yet
This poll is to create a baseline about the past. Here is the context:
This is the repeat poll. There is a market asking about this poll's results.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Not joking or sarcastic btw, see e.g.
https://deevybee.blogspot.com/2018/04/should-research-funding-be-allocated-at.html
companies YCombinator or Techstars fund, excl. the initial batches
And that's for science / business where the applicant's paper profile is supposed to contain lots of signal
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