Will an Open-Ended Embodied Agent with Large Language Models be able to complete The Witness (2016) by 2024?
10
190Ṁ730Jan 1
27%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
53% chance
Will a Large Language Model save a human life through medical advice by the end of 2025?
92% chance
Will a smart agent pass our Turing test by the end of 2025?
56% chance
Will a major video game released in 2026 have NPC dialogue generated on-the-fly by a Large Language Model?
50% chance
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2025?
45% chance
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
55% chance
Will an autonomous agent resolve 90% of tasks on SWE-bench by 2026?
50% chance
Will a team consisting primarily of ML models complete MIT Mystery Hunt by 2030?
45% chance
Will a language model that runs locally on a consumer cellphone beat GPT4 by EOY 2026?
84% chance
Will a Language Model under 10B parameters play chess at Grandmaster level by 2050?
88% chance