Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will a major figure die today?
18
Ṁ390Ṁ758
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
N/A

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

n/a'ing bc they never responded and seems to be a fraudulent resolution

Reason for resolution?

🎵Somebody once told me🎵

🎵OP was gonna roll me🎵

🎵I ain't the sharpest at making bets🎵

🎵Criteria looked kind of dumb🎵

🎵But I pressed NO with my thumb🎵

🎵And made the shape of an L on the market🎵

Why is this in the "Fun" group? 💀

Define major figure?

@Joshua a figure with over 10 million followers on a social platform

Hmmm even if so, highest i can find is their spotify which is <10 mil

That doesn't say anything about followers though? I agree he's a major figure. Also OP is a brand new account so this might just go whatever direction profits them most lol

@Joshua Yeah Smash Mouth might not have the requisite spotify followers, but their music is pretty influential in internet culture

I agree, but that's the criteria OP has set.

predictedYES

I’m not sure I agree with OPs criteria cuz what if somebody really famous dies today who doesn’t have social media?

https://www.instyle.com/celebrity/celebrities-who-dont-use-social-media

What if somebody from this list who is even arguably more popular than Smash Mouth dies? OPs criteria for an influential figure is predicated on their usage of social media which is kinda faulty Imo

Fair points, but OP might not care. This could be a reverse-scam where they expect us to all buy yes because of smash mouth, then they buy no and resolve no.

@Joshua The creator’s only three markets are all hopelessly ambiguous and their replies to queries don’t help. I’m avoiding them for now.