Will Eliezer Yudkowsky tweet the word "rationalussy" on December 30, 2023?
38
730Ṁ25k
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO

There is a huge controvercy about the date on which Eliezer Yudkowsky will tweet the word "rationalussy". E.g. https://manifold.markets/SG/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-write-a-twee and https://manifold.markets/JosephNoonan/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-tweet-the-wo.

This market will resolve YES if he writes a tweet containing the word "rationalussy" on the second to last day of 2023 (CT).

If "tweeting" will be renamed to "xeeting" or similar, it still counts.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ142
2Ṁ123
3Ṁ116
4Ṁ102
5Ṁ35
Sort by:
predictedNO
predictedYES

The unexpected rationalussy paradox: Eliezer Yudkowsky says he will tweet the word rationalussy in 2023, but the day will be a surprise.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules