Will robots be able to load a dishwasher in the next five years?
Plus
57
Ṁ79912028
92%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
My profits 😭
Accidentally left a limit order too large, forgot to cancel it, got No. (I think the market was created because I wanted to make a Yes bet at 7% with someone at Manifest.)
bought Ṁ100 YES
We'll definitely see a robot loading a dishwasher before the end of this year.
Dishwasher unloading shown in the video (teleoperated though)
@ms Any particular success rate? What if someone tries 100 times, it succeeds once, and releases that video?
Related questions
Related questions
Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?
61% chance
In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3)
53% chance
Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2040?
67% chance
What year will the robot dishwasher market resolve?
Will there be a consumer robot (cleaning dishes, doing chores, etc) at any price, that is widely available by end 2025?
19% chance
Will we have robot housekeepers by 2025?
18% chance
Will a robot do my laundry before 2034?
61% chance
Will I be able to purchase a robot that folds my laundry for me by the end of 2030?
64% chance
By 2030, will dishwashers be considered as safe and effective as washing dishes by hand?
45% chance
Will I be able to buy a commercial humanoid robot that does useful household labor (e.g. laundry, dishes) by EOY 2025?
24% chance