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MANIFOLD
“Every Bay Area House Party” house party in London 2 Prop Bets (add answers!)
6
Ṁ525Ṁ77
Dec 31
95%
Someone wears cat ears
69%
Someone who learned about the party from Manifold attends
66%
There's insider trading
66%
Over 50 people attend
66%
Someone who doesn’t know who Aella is attends
59%
Someone is not aware of the first rule
50%
Over 40 people attend
50%
An AI Box experiment is held
50%
Someone brings benchmark answer keys not available elsewhere to the party
50%
Someone travels over 100 miles to attend
50%
We run out of space
50%
At least 10 people hug the Eliezer Yudkowsky body pillow

If you're reading this, you're invited btw

https://partiful.com/events/gIBlepTMYp8J7nGqapRV

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!