before 2026, will Telegram have given any government access to private messages of its users?
Plus
26
Ṁ21032025
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Before 2026, will Telegram, according to credible reporting, provide the contents of any private chat between two users to a government?
(It doesn’t count if a party to the chat authorizes this, if a party to the chat is affiliated with Telegram, or if only chat metadata- such as phone numbers, IP addresses, the time messages have been sent- is revealed by Telegram, but not any of the contents. It only counts if it happened in 2016-2025 inclusive. It doesn’t count if access to messages is gained by a government without cooperation from Telegram.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Telegram anonymous numbers be supported by any other project at end of 2024?
36% chance
Will Telegram be blocked in Russia by the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will Pavel Durov (Telegram founder) be under arrest or otherwise detained at the end of 2024?
90% chance
Will Telegram still provide unlimited file storage in 2030?
33% chance
Will the founder of Telegram be sentenced to jail time in the EU by the end of 2025?
29% chance
Will any private message on Manifold be shared with the public without the consent of any of its participants by 2025?
10% chance
Which otherd apps gona be censured as Telegram ?
Will Manifold leak any private messages before the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?
14% chance
At the end of 2025, will TikTok be banned in more countries than Twitter (X) and Telegram combined?
37% chance