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Will GPT-6 release introduce a different size/performance tier structure?
11
Ṁ1.2kṀ6.5k
Dec 30
0.8%
Yes, a higher tier introduced with a change in naming scheme
96%
Yes, a higher tier introduced and added to the current Sol/Terra/Luna naming somehow
1.8%
No, Sol remains the highest tier and has similar speed and pricing as 5.6 (the status quo answer)
1.1%
No, but one or more models in existing tiers CLEARLY become bigger (as reflected by their speed and pricing or other strong signals)

In an industry with already poor average naming track record, OpenAI is still unrivaled in naming their models without any consideration for common sense, user experience, or marketing foresight.

Now, with GPT-6 release allegedly only weeks away, many are speculating that the new flagship will be in a size category of its own akin to Anthropic's Mythos/Fable. But then how does it fit into the neat current Sol/Terra/Luna naming scheme? Would a potential higher tier take on the name of some bigger star (Antares?) or the entire Milky Way galaxy ("Galaxias"?)? So many questions!

Note on the last option: in the absence of direct testimonials from Sam & Co, I will go by consensus opinion of industry analysts and my best informed judgment; resolution might be delayed in this case or may have to rely on a separate poll or market intended to gauge opinions on the matter.

EDIT 2026-07-31: If the current tier structure changes with a release in the 5.x family before GPT-6 is announced, this still qualifies for one of the two YES options.

  • Update 2026-08-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * If Astra is released in the 5.x family and retains the name "Astra" separate from Sol and other tiers, it will resolve as an addition to the existing naming scheme (Option #2).

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@traders About to resolve it this way considering today's release of what seems to be the rest of the GPT-6 family. It looks like Terra is dropped from the line-up which is something I hadn't considered when making the market, but this option still reflects the current state of things the best of all. If you have any objections, let me know.

The Astra naming for the new model is all but officially presented at this point but I'll wait until the whole tiering structure is confirmed by OpenAI to ensure we got everything right.

bought Ṁ50 YES

How does this resolve if Astra is not named GPT-6? Does this question still spiritually consider Astra to be the resolving model?

@JoeandSeth As I said in the earlier comment, if Astra is released in the 5.x family (and keeping the "Astra" name upon release separate from Sol and the rest), I'll still consider it an addition to the existing naming scheme (option #2, the current favorite).

Lentils (@Lentils80) on X

Lentils (@Lentils80) on X
🚨 OpenAI preparing to release a new model family, tentatively named "Astra" OAI touted its abilities to have multiple agents work together over a long period of time to solve particularly hard problems Astra is a new class of OpenAI models alongside Sol, Terra and Luna h/t

Per The Information. If true, this points to a new tier above Sol akin to Fable.

If OpenAI decides to brand it under the 5.x line, I would resolve as one of the corresponding YES options since the spirit of the question was less about their (rather arbitrary) version numbering and more about the tier structure within the same version number.