Will Putin cease to be the leader of Russia by Dec 31, 2022?

resolved Jan 1

Resolved

ALL

The question will resolve to "Yes" if Putin is no longer the leader of Russia, as reported by one US major news source. Putin's removal was predicted by Dmitry Bykov on the New Yorker Radio Hour podcast in July 2022.

Sep 30, 8:15am: ~~Will Putin no longer be the leader of Russia by Dec 31, 2022?~~ → Will Putin cease to be the leader of Russia by Dec 31, 2022?

Putin Assassination Markets

Politics

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1	Arbitrage BotBot	Ṁ81
2	Martin Randall	Ṁ60
3	Jack	Ṁ47
4	Yev	Ṁ35
5	Jonathan Ray	Ṁ19

Sort by:

Bram Stolkpredicted YES at 15% This should have been a simpler question: “Will he be president” and drop the unnecessary “not” as now you have to do a double negative in your head if you think he will be president.

Ken Michaelspredicted YES at 9%

@BramStolk I agree. It's one of the first Manifold Markets questions I posted. Writing a clear and unambiguous question definitely takes planning!

Jackpredicted NO at 11%

@mkalbert That's ok, you can edit it! Just click edit question and you can reword it. My suggestion is "no longer be" -> "cease to be" - same meaning but much easier to read.