Will Putin cease to be the leader of Russia by Dec 31, 2022?

Politics•Ukraine-Russia war•Putin Life Insurance

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The question will resolve to "Yes" if Putin is no longer the leader of Russia, as reported by one US major news source. Putin's removal was predicted by Dmitry Bykov on the New Yorker Radio Hour podcast in July 2022.

Sep 30, 8:15am: ~~Will Putin no longer be the leader of Russia by Dec 31, 2022?~~ → Will Putin cease to be the leader of Russia by Dec 31, 2022?

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predicted YES

This should have been a simpler question: “Will he be president” and drop the unnecessary “not” as now you have to do a double negative in your head if you think he will be president.

predicted YES

@BramStolk I agree. It's one of the first Manifold Markets questions I posted. Writing a clear and unambiguous question definitely takes planning!

predicted NO

@mkalbert That's ok, you can edit it! Just click edit question and you can reword it. My suggestion is "no longer be" -> "cease to be" - same meaning but much easier to read.