Will Putin cease to be the leader of Russia by Dec 31, 2022?
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question will resolve to "Yes" if Putin is no longer the leader of Russia, as reported by one US major news source. Putin's removal was predicted by Dmitry Bykov on the New Yorker Radio Hour podcast in July 2022.

Sep 30, 8:15am: Will Putin no longer be the leader of Russia by Dec 31, 2022? → Will Putin cease to be the leader of Russia by Dec 31, 2022?
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ81 | |
2 | Ṁ60 | |
3 | Ṁ47 | |
4 | Ṁ35 | |
5 | Ṁ19 |
Sort by:
Bram Stolkpredicted YES at 15% This should have been a simpler question: “Will he be president” and drop the unnecessary “not” as now you have to do a double negative in your head if you think he will be president.
Ken Michaelspredicted YES at 9%
@BramStolk I agree. It's one of the first Manifold Markets questions I posted. Writing a clear and unambiguous question definitely takes planning!
Sort by:
YES payouts
Ṁ272
Ṁ166
Ṁ78
Ṁ65
Ṁ59
Ṁ52
NO payouts
Ṁ1,314
Ṁ824
Ṁ264
Ṁ260
Ṁ154
Ṁ131
Ṁ59
Ṁ57
Ṁ51
Ṁ46
Ṁ34
Ṁ13
Ṁ11
Ṁ11
Ṁ11
Ṁ11











Related markets

ACX BotBot
1. Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2023?88%
Ivan Zagrebin
Will Vladimir Putin be the President of Russia at the end of 2024?65%

Axl
Will Putin die before 2030?67%

Scott Lawrence
Will Vladimir Putin be alive on Jan 1st, 2024?90%
Tomek K 🟡
Will Vladimir Putin relocate OUT of Russia before the end of 2023?7%
Related markets

ACX BotBot
1. Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2023?88%
Ivan Zagrebin
Will Vladimir Putin be the President of Russia at the end of 2024?65%

Axl
Will Putin die before 2030?67%

Scott Lawrence
Will Vladimir Putin be alive on Jan 1st, 2024?90%
Tomek K 🟡
Will Vladimir Putin relocate OUT of Russia before the end of 2023?7%