Will fusion power be commercially available by 2035?
17
64
Ṁ1.4KṀ360
2036
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ32 +221.4%
New probability
32% +2%
Get Ṁ500 play money
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In that time frame you're pretty much betting on Helion. I don't think there are any other commercial projects that have done the capital investment already that they'd likely be able to prove out in that window. I doubt I'd put Helion's odds over 20% . . . I confess, I'm actually pretty skeptical of them, honestly, so maybe more like 5-8%.
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