Will the US Congress approve additional aid for Ukraine before 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This questions resolves as Yes if at any point in time between November 16, 2023 and January 1, 2024 credible sources report that the US Congress has approved an additional package of foreign aid for Ukraine. The foreign aid must be included in a bill (or bills) sent to President Biden for signature by the end of the day on December 31, 2023.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
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@SemioticRivalry for the record I think it's fine to leave a low star review because of that. It's not "mirrorbot's fault", but it's evidence about how you should expect mirrorbot markets to resolve in the future.
That said, could you explain why you think it's a blatant misresolution? I don't understand the relevant processes in the US well enough to have much of an opinion here. I just noticed the comments indicated this would probably resolve YES. If you explain here I can forward it to the Metaculus question if you want (or you could just post there yourself of course).
@jskf the ndaa contains highly administrative and old money for Ukraine, it is not Ukraine aid. If I went on cnn right now and said that Ukraine aid has been signed into law they would fact check me. Anyway polymarket probably will have a civil war over this so that should be interesting