Will the current European Commission propose a European Union directive or regulation banning all types of caged-housing for egg-laying hens before October 31, 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question will be resolved when the European Commission is reported on the EU Press Corner website to have made a proposal for a directive or regulation that requires an end to the use of all caged systems for egg-laying hens within the European Union. Note that predictions are for if the announcement will be made, not for what date cages will be effectively banned nor for when or if the Commission proposal will be adopted into law successfully after being proposed. If the Commission proposal is made on or before 31 October 2024 the question will be resolved positively. If the Commission has not proposed a cage-free law by the end of the current term (31 October 2024), this will resolve negatively.

In the case of positive resolution, this question retroactively closes 48 hours before the time of the EU commission announcement

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

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