[Metaculus] Will Poland legalize gay marriage by 2030?
Plus
18
Ṁ6012030
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will Poland legalize gay marriage by 2030?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question resolves positive if marriages can take place anywhere within Poland between people of the same sex before 2030. It is permissible if the marriages can only take place in some parts of Poland but not other parts
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
what countries will legalize gay marriage by 2030
Which countries will legalize homosexual behavior by 2030( can Add countries)
Will same-sex marriage be banned in any country that has currently legalized it, before 2030?
32% chance
Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized in any country in Africa before 2030?
60% chance
Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized for at least non-Muslims in any Muslim-majority country before 2030?
60% chance
Will any country that has once institutionalized same-sex marriage ban it again before 2030?
42% chance
Will Singapore recognise gay marriage by 2030?
30% chance
Will any country in Africa other than South Africa fully legalize gay marriage by the end of 2030?
52% chance
Will Polish parliament equalize the retirement age for men and women before 2030?
53% chance
Will Poland adopt the euro before 2030?
28% chance