[Metaculus] Will Pavel Durov leave France before January 1, 2025?
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Will Pavel Durov leave France before January 1, 2025?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This questions resolves as Yes if credible sources report before January 1, 2025, that Pavel Durov has left France. If no such report is made before deadline, question resolves as No.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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His safety abroad is under threat as long as the current regime remains in power in moscow. In France he's under the protection of the French security services. Despite undergoing prosecution and being forced to make concessions with respect to Telegram's privacy guarantees, from his perspective these are an acceptable price to pay.

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