
[Metaculus] Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before September 1, 2024? (5 or more deaths in 24 hours)
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Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before September 1, 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question resolves Yes if, following the date of this question's publication and before September 1, 2024, credible reports indicate that an attack attributed to Iran and occurring within Israel's borders has led to the death of at least five individuals.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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