[Kalshi] Will TikTok be banned by December 31, 2024?
Plus
16
Ṁ2138Jan 8
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will TikTok be banned by December 31, 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Kalshi.
Resolution criteria
If TikTok is banned before 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution sources
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Same comment as on similar markets: The bill currently working through congress would only ban the app after a year. Court challenges could delay this. It seems unlikely to me that a different bill would supersede this one, or that Biden would ban by executive order while legislation was pending. I think this is a NO.
Related questions
Related questions
Will TikTok get banned in the United States?
43% chance
Will TikTok be banned in the US by the end of 2025?
41% chance
TikTok Ban Endgame: Which will happen first?
Will TikTok be banned in the United States by the end of 2025?
37% chance
Tiktok ban - How many other countries will ban tiktok before 2025 (app must be unavailable in the country)
Will TikTok be banned in the United States for the majority of the population by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will TikTok be banned in the US by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will the TikTok Bill be used against other apps/websites before 2029?
50% chance
What will happen wrt tiktok in the US by EOY?
Will the Supreme Court deem unconstitutional the Montana statewide ban on TikTok by 2026 year end?
24% chance