Will TikTok be banned by December 31, 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Kalshi.
Resolution criteria
If TikTok is banned before 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution sources
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
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@Tsunombie Kalshi has multiple versions of the same market with different closing dates at the same url, this resolves no.
Same comment as on similar markets: The bill currently working through congress would only ban the app after a year. Court challenges could delay this. It seems unlikely to me that a different bill would supersede this one, or that Biden would ban by executive order while legislation was pending. I think this is a NO.