Will the CDC identify a new variant of concern by December 31, 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Kalshi.
Resolution criteria
If the CDC has identified a new variant of concern between Issuance and December 31, 2024, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution sources
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/variants/variant-classifications.html
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
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People are also trading
@jskf the link in the description apparently goes to a kalshi market that resolves at EOY 2025?
@rudolf Kalshi has a lot of markets that repeat every year, and the old page apparently redirects to the one for the current year. The 2024 version resolved NO.
@jskf The title and criteria don't say "COVID" anywhere, but the linked market on Kalshi does include COVID in both. Can we update this?
@kenakofer do you know why the title is different? For the description, I guess we could start including the "About" part as well as the rules.
@jskf 90% that Kalshi simply changed it after the mirror, but I'm not sure if that's documented. The relevant API call now has COVID in the title.
@kenakofer Oh, I see that under markets, the entry has title "Will the CDC identify a new variant of concern by December 31, 2024?". So I guess that's a title in the context of the parent event (which itself doesn't have the date in its title).