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Will the CDC identify a new variant of concern by December 31, 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Kalshi.
Resolution criteria
If the CDC has identified a new variant of concern between Issuance and December 31, 2024, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution sources
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/variants/variant-classifications.html
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
Related questions
@jskf The title and criteria don't say "COVID" anywhere, but the linked market on Kalshi does include COVID in both. Can we update this?
@kenakofer do you know why the title is different? For the description, I guess we could start including the "About" part as well as the rules.
@jskf 90% that Kalshi simply changed it after the mirror, but I'm not sure if that's documented. The relevant API call now has COVID in the title.
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F7IVmkDZfG2.png?alt=media&token=6c57b872-4e53-4d99-bc53-daedcaf13f86)
@kenakofer Oh, I see that under markets
, the entry has title "Will the CDC identify a new variant of concern by December 31, 2024?". So I guess that's a title in the context of the parent event (which itself doesn't have the date in its title).