Will a pathogenic bacteria be designated a Biosafety Level 4 Organism by the CDC before 2040? | Manifold

Will a pathogenic bacteria be designated a Biosafety Level 4 Organism by the CDC before 2040?

3

Ṁ90Ṁ19

2040

54%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The Center for Disease Control and Prevention assigns a risk group to organisms based on the necessary precautions to contain that organsim within a laboratory. Currently, all BSL-4 agents are viral. However, risks due to bioweapon research, and increasing antibiotic resistance could lead to other agents, possibly including bacterial agents becoming considered dangerous enough to require BSL-4 procedures. The placement of additional agents in the risk group 4 category would be indicative of increased existential risk to humans.

Resolution of this question will be based on the CDC list of BSL-4 agents. If any bacterial agent is placed on this list before January 1st, 2040 the question will resolve yes.

Helpful links:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biosafety_level

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