[ACX 2024] Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?
87
376
แน10Kแน1.1K
2025
91%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, in the calendar year 2024, SpaceX's Starship reaches orbit. Note that "orbit" is often used in a loose manner but this question has a specific definition of orbit in the fine print below.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
Get แน200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will there be a SpaceX Starship launch in the second quarter of 2024?
96% chance
Will SpaceX launch a nine-engine Starship variant in 2024?
4% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2028?
20% chance
Will SpaceX's Starship cross the International Date Line by the end of 2024.
91% chance
Will a SpaceX starship achieve orbit in 2024?
86% chance
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2024?
Will SpaceX land a space-flown Starship in 2024?
8% chance
Will there be a SpaceX Starship launch in the fourth quarter of 2024?
88% chance
Will a SpaceX Starship be refuelled in orbit by the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will SpaceX Starship reach orbit at least 2 times in 2024?
93% chance