
[ACX 2024] Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024?
109
Ṁ1.1kṀ24kresolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, in calendar year 2024, OpenAI publicly acknowledges that a system or method it has explored is the rumored Q* (or Q-Star) and publishes (or has published in the past) a document (e.g., a blog post, paper, or video, but not a tweet) describing the system or method rumored to be Q*.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,384 | |
| 2 | Ṁ449 | |
| 3 | Ṁ277 | |
| 4 | Ṁ168 | |
| 5 | Ṁ141 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will OpenAI publish content referencing quantum computing within the next 30 days?
16% chance
What will be the best OpenAI-Proof Q&A score by Dec 31, 2026?
Will OpenAI release another open source LLM before end of 2026?
70% chance
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
20% chance
Will open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4)
72% chance