Enemy-Combatant Detention of a U.S. Citizen by 31 Dec 2025?
1
100Ṁ5
Dec 30
48%
chance

Will any U.S. citizen be formally designated and detained as an “enemy combatant/operative” in connection with Iran hostilities, outside of ordinary criminal process, on or before 31 December 2025?

Resolution

  • YES if both occur:

    1. A U.S. executive agency (DoD, DoJ, CIA, etc.) publicly acknowledges the designation or a court filing / Federal Register notice does;

    2. Detention lasts >72 h without civilian criminal charges.

  • NO otherwise.

Transfers later to standard criminal custody nullify YES only if the initial detention never met 72 h threshold.

Sources: DoD press statements, habeas filings, Federal Register, credible national outlets citing official confirmation.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy