When Gemini Ultra is released to the public, resolves to the linear interpolation between the nearest Anchor Dates. The anchor date for every month is the 15th except for February which is 14.

Resolves 100% Other if Google states they will never release it, or Google goes out of business, or the year 2028 is reached without Gemini Ultra being released.

Examples:

• It is released on 2024-01-01. The nearest anchor dates are 2023-12-15 and 2024-01-15, which is a span of 31 days. This is 16 days into the span, so resolves 48% December 2023 and 52% January 2024.

• It is released on 2024-01-17. This is 2 days into a span of length 30. February 2024 is a leap year but the anchor date is still 2024-02-14. January 2024 resolves 28/30 = 93% and February 2024 resolves 7%.

"Released to the public": No waitlist, release date is the first date it is available to @Mira in the US. @Mira gets announcements about Google Bard, so hopefully I should know the specific date I have access by checking my email history. Leaks do not count. This market uses PST timezone.

Gemini Pro is currently released to API and Bard. When will the Ultra size be available?