Like 8% of presidents are assassinated, and Biden has a lot of other threats to his life

@AAh 8% of presidents aren't assassinated PER YEAR lol

@Tumbles Per term, and he hasn’t been assassinated so far in his term so the probability mass is over time squeezing itself into the remaining part of the term. In the last 10 seconds before he stops his presidency he ll still be 8% likely to be assassinated. Watch out mr biden

@Bayesian actually, the universe is 14 billion years old and only 4 presidents have been assassinated, so the odds are about 1 in 3 billion

@Bayesian well there's likely to be some regression to the mean. No president has been assassinated in almost half a century. If Biden makes it to his last 10 seconds of the presidency... gimme one sec, doing some back of the napkin math... this will be 8240% likely!

https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html suggests that the chance of death over the whole year at age 81 (Biden's current age) is 7.2%

@duck_master definitely doesn’t take into consideration that Biden has the best health care in the world