Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden?

Question

We’ve got two 81 year old career politicians, born in 1942, from opposing sides of the aisle. Will Cocaine Mitch croak before Scranton Joe? Can Grandpa Biden outlast Ol’ Man McConnell?

This market will extend as needed.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 54% chance (86 traders, as of Apr 22, 2026).