MANIFOLD
Will MoMA acquire a major generative AI artwork before 2027?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ140
Dec 31
45%
chance

MoMA's permanent collection contains zero works created primarily by generative AI systems (Midjourney, DALL-E, Stable Diffusion, etc). This market resolves YES if MoMA officially announces acquiring a work where AI generation is the primary creative medium before Jan 1, 2027.

Resolution:

- Must be permanent collection acquisition (not temporary exhibition)

- "Major" = Work by recognized digital artist OR acquisition price >$50k OR featured in MoMA press release

- AI-assisted works (human+AI collaboration) count if AI is credited as primary medium

- Works using AI for post-processing only = NO

Context: Refik Anadol's data sculptures have been exhibited but not acquired. Institutional reluctance around authorship/copyright remains high. MoMA acquired Nam June Paik's video art in 1960s - will they repeat for AI?

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